Escalating War of Words Involving Ethiopian Government and Eritrea Triggers Anxieties of Armed Clash

Increasing worries have emerged about the chance of armed conflict involving East African neighbors, the Ethiopian government and Eritrea, as confrontational rhetoric has escalated in recent weeks.

Ethiopia-Eritrea border
Ethiopia and The Eritrean government cooperated in the armed struggle in Tigray but they have since fallen out.

What Did Ethiopian Officials Stated?

Landlocked Ethiopia's calls for entry to the sea coast through Eritrean territory has triggered a heated verbal exchange.

The Ethiopian leader previously announced in last year that his nation's sea access was an vital issue, comments that Eritrean authorities ignored.

Relations between the neighboring nations have frequently been strained. Following a prolonged fight for sovereignty, the Eritrean state, which has a 1,350km (840-mile) maritime frontage, formally separated from Ethiopian rule in the early 1990s, making it landlocked.

Subsequently, a territorial conflict broke out in which more than 100,000 people were killed.

Current Remarks from Ethiopia's Officials

Prime Minister Abiy and army chief General Birhanu Jula have openly claimed control of Eritrea's maritime facility of the port of Assab – some 60 km from the boundary - and hinted at the wish to capture it through military means.

In early September, Abiy said Ethiopia's "mistake" of being denied passage to the Red Sea as a result of Eritrea's separation would be "rectified in the future".

Ethiopia's ambassador to neighboring Kenya, retired Gen Bacha Debele, said that Assab was "Ethiopian property" and would be restored "by force".

Eritrean Response to the Claims

In the face of ongoing threats from Ethiopian officials, Eritrea's response has been confined to brief comments on X from Communications Head Yemane Gebremeskel.

Officials have denied Ethiopia's push for maritime entry describing it as "hazardous" and a "negative policy" of "expansionism" – a policy of reclaiming lost territory.

The information ministry alerted on 16 September that moves to justify "flagrant aggression" would have serious consequences for Ethiopia and its neighbouring countries and is a "redline that should not be crossed|violated|breached".

Military Activities on the Region

Currently, there are no reports of large-scale army activities in the border areas between the neighboring states.

Nevertheless, in the country, government media has broadcast training completions of thousands of cadets at different defense facilities.

The leader of staff section of the military, the officer, stated recently in an discussion that the army was in a "reliable position" as "tens of thousands of recruits" were joining it, which he said was "a message to our enemies".

Previous Background of the Tension

For more than half a century from the late 19th century, the territory was ruled by colonial powers.

Following the end of Italian rule, it was then controlled by the British military before evolving into a associated territory of the Ethiopian empire.

Yet in 1962 the Ethiopian emperor cancelled this arrangement and Eritrea became totally absorbed into the Ethiopian state.

A extended internal conflict occurred, finishing with the government's loss in the early 1990s. Independence was then confirmed by Eritreans in a vote in 1993.

For a few years in the 1990s, there were good relations between the governments in Ethiopia's capital and Eritrea's capital, but they clashed over the specific demarcation of their mutual frontier, causing war in 1998.

Although this ended in a truce in 2000, it was never fully implemented, and the neighbors stayed at odds.

This changed in 2018, when Abiy made approaches to Eritrea's leader the president. The both leaders signed a announcement that the war was finished – a move that gained Abiy the international recognition.

The two governments were then partners in the country's 2020-2022 civil war in Tigray.

Yet diplomatic connections have later worsened again.

Rose Shaffer
Rose Shaffer

Elena Voss is a tech entrepreneur and venture capitalist with over a decade of experience in startup ecosystems.